Live Match Center
Delayed-live score state, scorers, cards, substitutions, and the pre-match model unless a validated in-play updater is added later.
Kindy Analytics
2026 FIFA World Cup Forecast (Public Beta)
A football fan's data science project for forecasting the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Follow model-driven match forecasts, tournament simulations, and evolving title probabilities as the tournament unfolds. This is a public beta: predictions are probabilistic and may be wrong.
Loading the latest World Cup snapshot…
Forecasts refresh during the tournament as results and bracket context change.
Last Updated
Loading
Local time
Detecting
Refresh mode
Loading
Forecast engine
Loading
Live data
Loading
Market odds
Loading
Next refresh
60s
Live data
Market odds
Simulation
Technical details
Champion Outlook
The top four champion candidates, with simple model explanations for why they rate highly and what could still go wrong.
Tournament Story
The latest title-race headlines, generated directly from published forecast artifacts.
Availability Watch
Suspensions, absences, and lineup concerns that could still move the forecast.
Forecast Signals
See how the model compares with reference market probabilities for current-round matches.
Bookmakers aggregate vast amounts of information, including injuries, team news, historical performance, expert opinion, and market activity, into implied probabilities. Rather than copying the market, Kindy Analytics uses it as one of many inputs to independently estimate match outcomes.
These comparisons help highlight where the model agrees with the broader consensus and where it reaches different conclusions. They are provided for research and educational purposes only.
Forecast Signals use the latest successful refresh and may pause when live or reference-market data becomes delayed.
Signal Framing
Conviction reflects the quality and consistency of the evidence supporting a forecast, not the chance that the forecast is correct.
Current-Round Forecasts
Confirmed knockout fixtures with one authoritative estimated score, the latest forecast, and only the changes that matter.
Model vs Market
Where the model is closest to, or furthest from, the reference market right now.
Reference market comparisons are shown for analysis only and should be interpreted with the broader forecast context.
Reference market prices are comparison points, not instructions.
Model Performance
Public-facing evaluation metrics based on officially captured pre-match forecasts only.
Stage Forecast Review
Stage calls are scored against the final forecast published before each decisive result.
Completed Match Review
Official scoring uses the captured original pre-match prediction when available, so you can compare what the model thought before kickoff with what actually happened.
Knockout Map
Select a team to trace its route through the bracket. Winners advance automatically as official results arrive.
Remaining Stage Probabilities
The selected team’s path from here: next stage, deep run, final, and title chances.
Standings Validation
Internal standings are checked against football-data.org tables. Warnings only appear if they disagree.
Champion Probability Chart
Remaining teams only by default, sorted by champion probability. Toggle eliminated contenders when you want the full tournament context.
Diagnostics
A public health summary of the forecast dashboard. Technical implementation details stay hidden by default.