#1
Spain
64.9%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
Kindy Analytics
Kindy Analytics publishes current 2026 FIFA World Cup champion forecasts based on the latest completed forecast refresh.
Last updated: Jul 19, 2026, 6:39 PM UTC
These probabilities come from the latest published tournament simulation and forecast update. They can change after completed matches and new completed refreshes.
#1
64.9%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#2
35.1%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#3
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#4
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#5
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#6
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#7
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#8
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#9
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#10
0.0%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
Forecasts are probabilistic and may be wrong. This is an independent project and is not affiliated with FIFA.