#1
France
20.9%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
Kindy Analytics
2026 FIFA World Cup Champion Predictions
Kindy Analytics publishes current 2026 FIFA World Cup champion forecasts based on the latest completed forecast refresh.
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC
These probabilities come from published tournament simulation and forecast artifacts. They can change after completed matches and completed refreshes.
#2
Mexico
9.8%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#3
Germany
6.8%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
#4
Argentina
6.5%
Champion probability from the latest completed forecast refresh.
Forecasts are probabilistic and may be wrong. This is an independent project and is not affiliated with FIFA.